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administration agencies Alan Berg Allen Schick alternative American analysis assistance authors Bank benefits billion Brookings Institution Brookings Papers budget capital changes China cities Congress costs countries Cultural Revolution defense domestic Economic Activity Economic Studies economists effective employment eral executive experience federal government finance fiscal forces Ford Foundation Foreign Policy Studies groups growth housing improve incentives income tax increase industry inflation investment issues Japan labor leaders levels major Massachusetts Avenue ment military monetary negative income tax nomic officials Okun organization party payroll tax percent political poor poverty President presidential problems proposed Published reform relations revenues sector Senior Fellow social security Soviet Soviet Navy spending staff strategic Studies program subsidies suggests Taiwan tion tional tive trade transport unions United University urban wage Washington WASHINGTON D.C. welfare World Bank Group