Econometric Models of Cyclical Behavior, Volume 36, Issue 2Bert G. Hickman |
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Contents
DYNAMIC PROPERTIES OF A CONDENSED VERSION OF | 601 |
EFFECTS OF AGGREGATION OVER TIME ON DYNAMIC CHAR | 673 |
AN ECONOMETRIC MODEL OF BUSINESS CYCLES | 739 |
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aggregate Annual auto-regressive scheme average lag billion business cycles business-cycle CHART coefficients components Constant Adjustments RMS consumer durables corporate profits country member banks cyclical deflator dependent variable dollars dummy variables dynamic Econometrica economic employment endogenous Error Value Error ex ante forecasts ex post forecasts exogenous variables fitted period forecast period frequency Friend-Taubman Fromm Liu Klein Fromm Model Goldfeld gross national product Implicit price deflator instrumental variables interest rate inventory investment Klein Model Klein OBE EFU Korean War labor least squares linear Liu Klein OBE Liu Model Mean-Squared Errors method monthly naive model null hypothesis OBE Model plant and equipment plim predictive performance Quarter of Forecast quarterly econometric models quarterly models Quarters Ahead Real consumer regressive RMS/RMS Naive sample period sector serial correlation simulations spectrum statistical structural change TABLE tion TSLS Value Error Value wage rate Wharton Model Wharton-EFU Model Y₁