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1700 Main Street age groups age-profile of disability Age-specific changes back cover become healthier become sicker Change in Health changes in disability confidence interval consistent estimates Corporate Finance Crimmins Dana Goldman Darius Lakdawalla delta method disability insurance disability prevalence Disability Rates disability trends domain name Economic elderly estimated change evidence figure uses age full percentage point full subscription growth in asthma growth in disability hard copy housework Ingegneri 1989 inside the back institutionalized population instructions inside Jay Bhattacharya logit Macroeconomics Main Street Santa Massachusetts Avenue Medicare middle line represents NBER Working Paper NHIS asks NHIS data non-institutionalized population old have become on-line overlap polynomial papers in hard Partial Subscription prevalence of asthma proportion of healthy RAND 1700 Main rate of disability rate of health rate of institutionalization Saito sample Schoenbaum 1995 single area smoothing procedure standard error Street Santa Monica substantial Taxation U.S. bank year-olds younger cohorts