Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap?A NEW YORK TIMES NOTABLE BOOK OF THE YEAR | SHORT-LISTED FOR THE 2018 LIONEL GELBER PRIZE | NAMED A BEST BOOK OF THE YEAR BY: FINANCIAL TIMES * THE TIMES (LONDON) * AMAZON “Allison is one of the keenest observers of international affairs around.”— JOE BIDEN, former vice president of the United States China and the United States are heading toward a war neither wants. The reason is Thucydides’s Trap: when a rising power threatens to displace a ruling one, violence is the likeliest result. Over the past five hundred years, these conditions have occurred sixteen times; war broke out in twelve. Today, as an unstoppable China approaches an immovable America, and both Xi Jinping and Donald Trump promise to make their countries “great again,” the seventeenth case looks grim. A trade conflict, cyberattack, Korean crisis, or accident at sea could easily spark a major war. In Destined for War, eminent Harvard scholar Graham Allison masterfully blends history and current events to explain the timeless machinery of Thucydides’s Trap—and to explore the painful steps that might prevent disaster today. “[A] must-read book in both Washington and Beijing.”— NIALL FERGUSON, BOSTON GLOBE “[Allison is] a first-class academic with the instincts of a first-rate politician.”— BLOOMBERG NEWS “[Full of] wide-ranging, erudite case studies that span human history . . . [A] fine book.”— NEW YORK TIMES BOOK REVIEW |
¤ÇÒÁ¤Ô´àË繨ҡ¼ÙéÍ×è¹ - à¢Õ¹º·ÇÔ¨Òóì
LibraryThing Review
º·ÇÔ¨Òóì¨Ò¡¼Ùéãªé - hhornblower - LibraryThingAn excellent overview of what happens when one state declines and another rises. It's books like these that made me wish I would have stuck with Political Science in college. ÍèÒ¹¤ÇÒÁ¤Ô´àË繩ºÑºàµçÁ
à¹×éÍËÒ
25 | |
A GATHERING STORM | 87 |
WHY WAR IS NOT INEVITABLE | 185 |
Back Matter | 232 |
Back Flap | 365 |
Back Cover | 366 |
Spine | 367 |
©ºÑºÍ×è¹æ - ´Ù·Ñé§ËÁ´
¤ÓáÅÐÇÅÕ·Õ辺ºèÍÂ
actions allies allowed American Asia Athens attack avoid balance became become Beijing believe Britain British build called Cambridge cause century challenge China Chinese Churchill civilization claim Cold Crisis decades decisive defense demands dominance East economic Empire Europe European explained fear fleet forces foreign France French future Germany Germany’s global growing growth half Henry Kissinger historian influence interests islands Italy Japan Kennedy King Kissinger Korea land later leaders leading London military million missiles naval navy never North noted nuclear officials Panama Party Peace percent political position president prevent Project question relations remained response rising risk Roosevelt ruling Russia secretary ships South South Korea Soviet Soviet Union Spain strategy territory Theodore threat threatened Thucydides’s trade Trap treaty United University Press wars Washington Western World York