Economic Growth in India: History and Prospect
It is a measure of the youthfulness of economics as a discipline that two centuries after the appearance of Adam Smith's landmark treatise The Wealth of Nations, an economist has posed the question "How do economies grow?" This comprehensive study of economic growth in India is intended as a response to this question. As history, it surveys the half century from the end of colonial rule to the present; as prognosis, it focuses on what we may expect in the immediate future.
Drawing upon diverse strands of theory, historical perspective, political economy, and econometrics, the book presents an eclectic and original narrative of the Indian growth experience. The main body of the book is divided into four chapters. Chapter 1 provides a critical exposition of some prominent theoretical representations of growth and a historical perspective on its drivers. The remaining three chapters provide a fresh analysis of three periods, respectively, 1950-64, 1965-91, and 1991 onwards. Presenting a favorable appraisal of the growth record of early independent India and an account of how the advantage was lost, the book argues that it is not just "more reforms" that stand in the way of sustained double-digit growth rates. The prospects for high long-term growth in India are instead linked with development of agriculture and education, particularly schooling. Further, the author proposes that inclusive growth is not just some optional extra, however desirable, but intrinsic to the prosperity of the country. The possibility of such an outcome, he argues, is tied more to the state's capacity to govern the public institutions once created by it than its command over resources.
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Understanding Economic Growth
A Moribund Economy Quickened 195064
Second Wind 196591
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acceleration aggregate agricultural growth break-date capita income capital accumulation capital formation cent century Chapter context countries decades decline deﬁcit Delhi difﬁcult econometric economic growth economic policy economists estimates evidence expansion exports factor ﬁgure ﬁnancial ﬁnancing ﬁnd ﬁnding ﬁrms ﬁrst Five Year Plan global government’s Green Revolution growth accounting growth in India growth rate growth since 1991 growth transition identiﬁed impact important inclusive growth increasing returns Indian agriculture Indian economy Indira Gandhi industrial policy inﬂation inﬂuenced inputs intervention irrigation labour less liberalization macroeconomic Mahalanobis Mahalanobis Model manufacturing Nehru Nehru era Nehru-Mahalanobis Strategy Note output period policy regime political primary education private sector production function proﬁtability proﬁts public expenditure public investment public sector rate of growth reﬂected research and extension rise role Second share shift signiﬁcant speciﬁc Statistics structural sufﬁcient technical progress transformation