Inevitable Surprises: Thinking Ahead in a Time of Turbulence

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Penguin, May 1, 2004 - Business & Economics - 272 pages
3 Reviews
The author of the bestseller The Art of the Long View forecasts the inevitable surprises that will shape the business world of tomorrow.

The world we live in today is more volatile than ever. The security of free nations is threatened by rogue states, the global economy is in flux, and the rapid advance of technology forces constant reevaluation of our society. With so many powerful forces at work and seemingly unpredictable events occurring, to many the future seems dark, and its possibilities frightening.

Peter Schwartz disagrees. A world-renowned visionary in the field of scenario planning, Schwartz s startling and accurate predictions have been employed by government agencies and major corporations for more than twenty-five years. He argues that the future is foreseeable, and that by examining the dynamics at work today we can predict the inevitable surprises of tomorrow.

Timely and thought-provoking, Inevitable Surprises is a book that no one with an interest in business or the future of our society can afford to miss.


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LibraryThing Review

User Review  - neotradlibrarian - LibraryThing

Schwartz is the author of the very influential Art of the Long View, the book that made scenarios a household word. This 2003 book is a follow-up to that, a very necessary one. In addition to ... Read full review

not worth it

User Review  - 987987987 -

Many years later his predictions are just ** . Read full review

Selected pages


Inevitable Surprises
A World Integrated with Elders
The Great Flood of People
The Return of the Long Boom
The Thoroughly New World Order
A Catalog of Disorder
Breakthroughs in Breaking Through Science and Technology
A Cleaner Deadlier World
Inevitable Strategies

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About the author (2004)

Peter Schwartz is cofounder and chairman of Global Business Network, part of the Monitor Group, and is a partner in the venture capital firm Alta Partners. He is the author of The Art of the Long View and coauthor of The Long Boom and When Good Companies Do Bad Things. A highly sought-after speaker for business symposia, he has also advised filmmakers, including Steven Spielberg, on creating realistic versions of future societies.

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