Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment

Front Cover
Thomas Gilovich, Dale Griffin, Daniel Kahneman
Cambridge University Press, Jul 8, 2002 - Psychology - 857 pages
Is our case strong enough to go to trial? Will interest rates go up? Can I trust this person? Such questions - and the judgments required to answer them - are woven into the fabric of everyday experience. This book examines how people make such judgments. The study of human judgment was transformed in the 1970s, when Kahneman and Tversky introduced their 'heuristics and biases' approach and challenged the dominance of strictly rational models. Their work highlighted the reflexive mental operations used to make complex problems manageable and illuminated how the same processes can lead to both accurate and dangerously flawed judgments. The heuristics and biases framework generated a torrent of influential research in psychology - research that reverberated widely and affected scholarship in economics, law, medicine, management, and political science. This book compiles the most influential research in the heuristics and biases tradition since the initial collection of 1982 (by Kahneman, Slovic, and Tversky). The various contributions develop and critically analyze the initial work on heuristics and biases, supplement these initial statements with emerging theory and empirical findings, and extend the research of the framework to new real-world applications.
 

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Contents

I
1
II
18
III
19
IV
49
V
82
VI
98
VIII
103
IX
120
XXVIII
378
XXIX
379
XXX
397
XXXI
421
XXXII
441
XXXIII
474
XXXIV
489
XXXV
510

XI
139
XII
150
XIII
167
XIV
185
XV
201
XVI
217
XVII
230
XIX
250
XX
271
XXI
292
XXII
313
XXIII
324
XXIV
334
XXV
348
XXVII
367
XXXVI
534
XXXVII
548
XXXVIII
559
XXXIX
582
XL
599
XLI
617
XLII
625
XLIII
636
XLIV
666
XLV
678
XLVI
686
XLVII
716
XLVIII
730
XLIX
749
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About the author (2002)

Daniel Kahneman received the 2002 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences for his pioneering work with Amos Tversky on decision-making.

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