Never Saw It Coming: Cultural Challenges to Envisioning the Worst
People—especially Americans—are by and large optimists. They're much better at imagining best-case scenarios (I could win the lottery!) than worst-case scenarios (A hurricane could destroy my neighborhood!). This is true not just of their approach to imagining the future, but of their memories as well: people are better able to describe the best moments of their lives than they are the worst.
“In Never Saw It Coming, Karen Cerulo argues that in American society there is a ‘positive symmetry,’ a tendency to focus on and exaggerate the best, the winner, the most optimistic outcome and outlook. Thus, the conceptions of the worst are underdeveloped and elided. Naturally, as she masterfully outlines, there are dramatic consequences to this characterological inability to imagine and prepare for the worst, as the failure to heed memos leading up to both the 9/11 and NASA Challenger disasters, for instance, so painfully reminded us.”--Robin Wagner-Pacifici, Swarthmore College
“Katrina, 9/11, and the War in Iraq—all demonstrate the costliness of failing to anticipate worst-case scenarios. Never Saw It Coming explains why it is so hard to do so: adaptive behavior hard-wired into human cognition is complemented and reinforced by cultural practices, which are in turn institutionalized in the rules and structures of formal organizations. But Karen Cerulo doesn’t just diagnose the problem; she uses case studies of settings in which people effectively anticipate and deal with potential disaster to describe structural solutions to the chronic dilemmas she describes so well. Never Saw It Coming is a powerful contribution to the emerging fields of cognitive and moral sociology.”--Paul DiMaggio, Princeton University
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Review: Never Saw It Coming: Cultural Challenges to Envisioning the WorstUser Review - Kyle - Goodreads
Cerulo's theory of positive asymmetry is really interesting, and this was my first introduction, and a good one, into the realm of cognitive sociology. It's particularly interesting to note the synthesis of nature vs. nurture in this field. Read full review
2 The Breadth and Scope of Positive Asymmetry
3 Practicing Positive Asymmetry
4 Positive Asymmetry and the Subjective Side of Scientific Measurement
5 Being Labeled the Worst Real in Its Consequences?
6 Exceptions to the Rule