## Studies in Subjective ProbabilityTruth and probability; Foresight: its logical laws, its subjective sources; The bases of probability; Subjective probability as the measure of a non-measurable set; The elicitation of personal probabilities; Probability: beware of falsifications; Probable knowledge. |

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### Contents

TRUTH AND PROBABILITY | 23 |

ITS LOGICAL LAWS ITS SUBJECTIVE SOURCES | 53 |

SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITY AS THE MEASURE | 133 |

Copyright | |

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### Common terms and phrases

according application assertion axioms bets bility Bruno de Finetti calculus of probability coherence conception condition consider consistency convex function convex set corresponding decision decision theory defined definition degree of belief depend determined distribution function elicitation equally probable evaluation of probability example exchangeable events exchangeable random quantities experience expressed fact false Finetti finite formal logic frequency give given Henri Poincare hypothesis improper priors independent induction judgment Keynes Kyburg large numbers law of large laws linear function logical relations mathematical meaning measure objective observation occur opinion partial belief personal probabilities point of view possible precise prediction prob proba probabilistic probability distribution probability theory problem proper scoring rules question rational real numbers reason result sense sequence simply statement Statistical Inference strictly convex subjective probability subjectivistic theory sufficient suppose theorem theory of probability tion trials true utility