The Next Hundred Million: America in 2050

Front Cover
Penguin, Feb 4, 2010 - Business & Economics - 320 pages
2 Reviews
Visionary social thinker Joel Kotkin looks ahead to America in 2050, revealing how the addition of one hundred million Americans by midcentury will transform how we all live, work, and prosper.

In stark contrast to the rest of the world's advanced nations, the United States is growing at a record rate and, according to census projections, will be home to four hundred million Americans by 2050. This projected rise in population is the strongest indicator of our long-term economic strength, Joel Kotkin believes, and will make us more diverse and more competitive than any nation on earth.

Drawing on prodigious research, firsthand reportage, and historical analysis, The Next Hundred Million reveals how this unprecedented growth will take physical shape and change the face of America. The majority of the additional hundred million Americans will find their homes in suburbia, though the suburbs of tomorrow will not resemble the Levittowns of the 1950s or the sprawling exurbs of the late twentieth century. The suburbs of the twenty-first century will be less reliant on major cities for jobs and other amenities and, as a result, more energy efficient. Suburbs will also be the melting pots of the future as more and more immigrants opt for dispersed living over crowded inner cities and the majority in the United States becomes nonwhite by 2050.

In coming decades, urbanites will flock in far greater numbers to affordable, vast, and autoreliant metropolitan areas-such as Houston, Phoenix, and Las Vegas-than to glamorous but expensive industrial cities, such as New York and Chicago. Kotkin also foresees that the twenty-first century will be marked by a resurgence of the American heartland, far less isolated in the digital era and a crucial source of renewable fuels and real estate for a growing population. But in both big cities and small towns across the country, we will see what Kotkin calls "the new localism"-a greater emphasis on family ties and local community, enabled by online networks and the increasing numbers of Americans working from home.

The Next Hundred Million provides a vivid snapshot of America in 2050 by focusing not on power brokers, policy disputes, or abstract trends, but rather on the evolution of the more intimate units of American society-families, towns, neighborhoods, industries. It is upon the success or failure of these communities, Kotkin argues, that the American future rests.
 

What people are saying - Write a review

LibraryThing Review

User Review  - Daniel.Estes - LibraryThing

The majority criticism aimed at this book appears to come from flawed premises. "America cannot sustain its people now never mind another 100 million," some have said. Also, there is a severe ... Read full review

THE NEXT HUNDRED MILLION: America in 2050

User Review  - Jane Doe - Kirkus

Think you have trouble finding a parking space today? Wait until 2050, when the American population will have grown by another 100 million.According to Forbes columnist Kotkin (The City: A Global ... Read full review

Contents

THE CRITICAL ROLE OF IMMIGRATION
AMERICAS UNIQUENESS
AMERICA THE MULTIETHNIC SPONGE
THE FADING COLOR LINE
THREE UNSPOKEN PRINCIPLES
AMERICAS RACIAL EVOLUTION
MESTIZO MECCAS
FROM CHINATOWN TO SILICON VALLEY

AN EVERMOREDISTINCT POPULATION
THE EXCEPTIONAL AMERICANS
BEYOND THE EUROPEAN MODEL
FROM ANTICITY TO NEW CITY
THE LOS ANGELES MODEL
LA AFTER LA
VOTING WITH YOUR FEET
BEYOND THE BIG IT
BACK TO THE FUTUREBUT IN A CAR
BUILDING THE NEXT AMERICAN CITY
THE CITY OF ASPIRATION
THE ASPIRATIONAL ARCHETYPE
MISERABLE AND UGLY CITIES
HIDEOUS BLOSSOMS
JUST LIKE HELL
THE RISE OF LUXURY CITY
A DEMOGRAPHIC DEAD END?
THE GLAMOROUS ROAD TO DECLINE
THE POWER OF PLAIN VANILLA
CITIES OF THE FUTURE
THE SUBURBAN FUTURE
FUTURE SLUMS?
HOW SUBURBIA EVOLVED
THE LURE OF LOWER DENSITY
THE GARDEN CITIES
GEORGE MITCHELL AND THE WOODLANDS MODEL
SMART SPRAWL
TOWARD GREENURBIA
SUBURBS AND THE SEARCH FOR COMMUNITY
THE SUBURBS OF THE FUTURE
THE MULTIGENERATIONAL SUBURB
THE ECONOMIC IMPERATIVE
REINVENTING THE OLD SUBURBIA
A FUTURE FOR NOWHERE
EVERYPLACE A CITY
A NEW WAY TO LIVE
BEYOND THE BUFFALO COMMONS
THE IMPORTANCE OF LAND
ENERGY FUTURES
THE STILL OPEN COUNTRY
REPRISING THE HISTORIC ROLE OF THE HEARTLAND
THE ENTREPRENEURIAL TRADITION
INDUSTRIALIZATION AND THE ROOTS OF HEARTLAND DECLINE
SPRAWL BEYOND SPRAWL
THE RISE OF URBALISM
CAFFEINATING THE CAPPUCCINO ECONOMY
OPTING FOR THE BOONDOCKS
RETURN OF THE IMMIGRANTS
ECONOMIC DECLUSTERING
ECONOMIC PROSPECTS IN RURAL AMERICA
THE RISE OF THE BRAIN BELT
THE ONSHORE REVOLUTION
A NEW MODEL SILICON VALLEY?
THE NEW HEARTLAND BOOMTOWN
THE NEW SMALL CITY
THE EXPANSIVE CHARACTER OF AMERICAN LIFE
ETHNIC SUCCESSION IN THE NEW MECCAS
YOU ARE WHAT YOU EAT
AMERICANS ARE GETTING MORE CHINESE
THE NEW GEOGRAPHY OF DIVERSITY
CROSSOVER SUBURBS
THE ENDURING DOMINANCE OF ENGLISH
THE HYBRID CULTURE
THE FLUID IDENTITY
NEW AMERICANS NEW AMERICAN CULTURE
THE NEW NEIGHBORHOOD NETWORK
NOMADS NO MORE
A FUNNY THING HAPPENED ON THE WAY TO SPINSTERHOOD
NOT ONE AMERICAN FAMILY LEFT
A VALUES REREVOLUTION?
THE RETURN OF THE FLEXIBLE FAMILY
BEYOND OZZIE AND HARRIET
POSTPONING THE ROAD TRIP
THE RETURN OF THE MULTIGENERATIONAL HOUSEHOLD
FAMILIES AND SUCCESSFUL COMMUNITIES
THE RISE OF FAMILYFRIENDLY CITIES
THE THREEGENERATION BURB
WHY RURAL VILLAGES AND SMALL TOWNS?
THE NEW LOCALISM
NEW FORMS OF COMMUNITY
RECAPTURING ARCHITECTURE FOR COMMUNITY
THE AMERICAN VALUE SYSTEM
HOW RELIGION WILL INTEGRATE THE NEW AMERICANS
21STCENTURY RELIGION
THE NEW ECUMENICALISM
COMMUNITY FOR THE NEXT HUNDRED MILLION
A RADICAL DEPARTURE
THE FAMILY FACTOR
WHY AMERICA CANNOT EASILY ADOPT ANTIGROWTH ATTITUDES
THE FUTURE THAT DIDNT HAPPEN
THE DECLUSTERED WORKFORCE
CLASS NOT RACE
MAINTAIN UPWARD MOBILITY
REVIVING THE REAL ECONOMY
REHABILITATING CINDERELLA
THE ENERGY CONNECTION
THE FUTURE ROLE OF TECHNOLOGY
BRIGHTER THAN GENERALLY THOUGHT
A GREENER MORE HOMEBASED SOCIETY
THE ECONOMY OF GREENURBIA
PREEMINENCE NOT HEGEMONY
COUNTRIES OF ASPIRATION
LOUSY WITH GREATNESS
FOUR HUNDRED MILLION AMERICANS
THE CITIES OF ASPIRATION
THE ARCHIPELAGO OF VILLAGES
THE RESURGENT HEARTLAND
POSTETHNIC AMERICA
THE 21STCENTURY COMMUNITY
AMERICA IN 2050
Copyright

Other editions - View all

Common terms and phrases

About the author (2010)

Joel Kotkin is a senior fellow with the Davenport Institute for Public Policy at Pepperdine University, a research fellow in urban studies at the Reason Public Policy Institute, and a senior fellow with the Milken Institute. He writes a monthly column, "Grass Roots Business," in the Sunday New York Times Money & Business section, and is a contributing editor to the Los Angeles Times Opinion section as well as a columnist for the Los Angeles Business Journal. An active participant in the new economy, he is director of content for Prime Ventures, a high-tech venture-capital firm specializing in new-media and technology ventures. He has written four previous books, including Tribes. He lives in North Hollywood, California.

Bibliographic information