黑天鹅: 如何应对不可预知的未来

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中信出版社, 2008 - Forecasting - 250 pages
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黑天鹅喻示着不可预测的重大稀有事件,其特点为:稀有性,冲击性和事后(不是事前)可预测性,它存在于各个领域,无论金融市场,商业,经济还是个人生活,都逃不过它的控制,本书教你以全新的视角理解现实世界,采取有效的应对策略防范风险,并把握黑天鹅带来的机会,从中受益.

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About the author (2008)

Nassim Nicholas Taleb was born in 1960 in Amioun, Lebanon. He is a researcher, essayist, trader, epistemologist, and former practitioner of mathematical finance. Taleb received his bachelors and masters degree in science from the University of Paris. He holds an MBA from the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania, and a Ph.D. in Management Science from the University of Paris- Dauphine. Taleb began his financial mathematics career in several of New York City's Wall Street firms before becoming a scholar in the epistemology of chance events, randomness, and the unknown. Taleb's book, Fooled by Randomness, was translated into 23 languages. His book, The Black Swan, was translated into 27 languages and spent several months on the New York Times Bestseller list. Taleb is a Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at Polytechnic Institute of New York University and visiting professor of Marketing (Cognitive Science) at London Business School. Taleb has also taught at the University of Massachusetts in Amherst, Courant Institute of New York University, and the Wharton Business School Financial Institutions Center. His title Bed of Procrustes made the N.Y. Times Bestseller List for 2010 and his title Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder made The 2012 New York Times Bestseller List.

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