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Craftsmanship in Analysis
Analytic Strategies and Their
Using Expert Judgment
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action program alternatives analysis team analytic strategy applied approach aspects assessment assumptions basis behavior benefits Chapter choice client concept conclusions considered constraints context cost cost analysts craft criteria decision decisionmakers developed discussion economic effects energy estimates evaluation example experiment experimental factors findings forecasting formulation future goals Goeller handbook IIASA impacts implementation important inputs involved issues judgment knowledge Majone measures mental model methods mixed strategies Netherlands objectives Oosterschelde operational gaming operations research outcomes output Overview participants pitfalls players POLANO policy analysis policymakers political feasibility possible potential problem situation procedures professional program evaluation pure strategies Quade quantitative Rand Corporation Ravetz relevant SANCAP Santa Monica scenarios scientific screening Section selected sensitivity testing simulation social structure success surrogate models systems analysis systems-analysis study tactics technical theory treatment uncertainty users usually validity variables ysis