Avoiding War: Problems Of Crisis ManagementDrawing on 11 case studies, beginning with the Crimean War and ending with the 1973 Mideast War, this volume presents an ambitious analysis of crisis management. The contributors analyze the role of factors such as intelligence, bargaining, rules, and stress. Throughout the volume, they attempt to grapple with the central problem facing experts on superpower relations today: how relevant is this kind of analysis to a post-Cold War environment? They conclude with possible future flashpoints, recommendations for containing escalation, and integrate the overall study's findings into existing theories of crisis behavior. They also make a convincing case that there are valuable lessons to be learned from past U.S.-Soviet crises. An epilogue touches on the outbreak of the Gulf crisis in 1990. ISBN 0-8133-1232-9: $59.95. |
Contents
Plan of the Study Alexander L George | 7 |
A Provisional Theory of Crisis Management | 22 |
The Crimean War Richard Smoke | 36 |
Copyright | |
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accept adversary aircraft allies analysis Arab attack Austria-Hungary Austrian avoid believed Berlin blockade Britain British ceasefire challenge Chinese coercive diplomacy cognitive commanders conflict confrontation crises crisis bargaining code crisis management Cuba Cuban Missile Crisis dangerous decision makers defense deployment deterrence diplomatic effective efforts Egypt Egyptian escalation Europe Foreign Policy German hostile Hussein Ibid important inadvertent initiate intelligence International intervention Israel Israeli Janice Gross Stein July Kennedy Kennedy's Khrushchev Kissinger Korea limited Middle East military action military forces miscalculation mobilization Moscow Nasser National naval negotiations Nixon nuclear objectives October October 27 offensive operations Peace plans policy makers political possible President pressure problems response risk rules of engagement Russian Schlieffen Plan Security Serbia side signal situation Soviet border guards Soviet leaders Soviet military Soviet Union strategy Suez Suez Crisis superpower threat troops Truman Type U.S. policy U.S.-Soviet ultimatum United University Press warning Washington Western York