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ABM system actors adversary agreement American decision makers American restraint American strategic analysis area defense argue arms control arms race assessment Axelrod beliefs capabilities competition concept constraints continued cooperative outcome decision making elite deductive theory defensive systems dependent variable deploy deployment empirical environment evolution of cooperation Galosh game theory Garthoff doctrine Herbert York hypotheses ICBM impact Implications of ABM important incentives institutions interests international cooperation international politics international relations interpretation intervening variable issues Kissinger Kremlin limited long term McNamara meta-strategy military MIRV missile Moscow mutual deterrence negotiations Nixon nuclear weapons parity particular payoff perceived perceptions possible potential preferences SALT security dilemma security relationship shared sides Smith Soviet behavior Soviet leaders Soviet Union stability Strategic and Foreign strategic arms strategic defense strategic interaction strategic theory strategies based structural superpower Talensky technological theoretic threat treaty unilateral US-Soviet arms control Washington world politics