Active Enlisted Supply: Prospects and Policy Options

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Rand Corporation, 1984 - Military service, Voluntary - 38 pages
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In this paper we show how the forces shaping enlisted supply in the 1980s will affect the services' abilities to attract and retain the numbers and types of individuals they want. We give special attention to the Army because its past recruiting problems have sparked greatest concern. For both DoD (all services together) and the Army, we present forecasts of high-quality male enlistments, of first- and second-term retention rates, and of the enlisted force structure. We also examine some alternative policy options for dealing with problems that our forecasts might suggest. We do not analyze whether the forecast force structure is the most cost-effective, nor do we treat the effects of changes in the military retirement system on accessions and retention. The retirement system is currently under study by the Fifth Quadrennial Review of Military Compensation.

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