The Art of the Long View: Planning for the Future in an Uncertain World
What increasingly affects all of us, whether professional planners or individuals preparing for a better future, is not the tangibles of life—bottom-line numbers, for instance—but the intangibles: our hopes and fears, our beliefs and dreams. Only stories—scenarios—and our ability to visualize different kinds of futures adequately capture these intangibles.
In The Art of the Long View, now with the addition of an all-new User's Guide, Peter Schwartz outlines the "scenaric" approach, giving you the tools for developing a strategic vision within your business.
Schwartz describes the new techniques, originally developed within Royal/Dutch Shell, based on many of his firsthand scenario exercises with the world's leading institutions and companies, including the White House, EPA, BellSouth, PG&E, and the International Stock Exchange.
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LibraryThing ReviewUser Review - markdeo - LibraryThing
A great planning book. Teaches how to really build your future scenarios. Read full review
Review: The Art of the Long ViewUser Review - Garywcarruthers - Goodreads
I have used scenarios as a thinking technique since reading this book a decade ago. Read full review
The ScenarioBuilding Animal
Uncovering the Decision
InformationHunting and Gathering
Creating Scenario Building Blocks
Composing a Plot
Rehearsing the Future
To My Newborn Son
The Value of a Strategic
How to Hold
Steps to Developing Scenarios
Other editions - View all
American Arie de Geus asked baby boom bloc challenge and response companies COMPOSING A PLOT conﬁdence conﬂict consider countries culture decisions deﬁcit demographic develop driving forces economic effect efﬁcient electronic environment environmental example factors ﬁelds ﬁlm ﬁlter ﬁnancial ﬁnd ﬁrst ﬁt ﬁve ﬂood fringes Global Business Network global teenager growth ideas imagine industry inﬂuence INFORMATION-HUNTING AND GATHERING Japanese learning Lone Ranger LONG VIEW look magazine managers ment Michael Ventura mind-set myths narios ofﬁce Ofﬁcial Future oil prices OPEC organization Paul Hawken Pierre Wack planning political possible predetermined elements problems questions REHEARSING THE FUTURE Royal Dutch/Shell SCENARIO BUILDING scenario process SCENARIO-BUILDING Shell signiﬁcant Smith & Hawken social Soviet Union speciﬁc Stewart Brand story strategic conversation THREE SCENARIOS tion Troll platform United winners and losers