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86th Congress able accept action aggression aggressor air defenses aircraft Alastair Buchan all-out allies balance of terror bargaining bility blackmail bombers capacity chances cities civil defense command commitment Communist conquest continue conventional countries course credibility damage defense value degree deterrence and defense deterrent effect deterrent utility deterrent value deterrer's East Germany enemy's estimate European Group expected cost expected value fighting fire greater ground attack ground forces increase inflict initial intent limited reprisals limited retaliation losses massive retaliation ment military forces minimum deterrent missiles mobile nuclear attack nuclear blackmail nuclear sharing nuclear warfare nuclear weapons objective op.cit political possible pre-emptive prestige probability provocation Quemoy rational Red Army reduce response retaliatory risk Russians shield side Soviet Union strategic forces strategic nuclear forces strike-back capability sufficient first-strike capability surprise attack tactical nuclear targets territorial gains threat threaten tion triggering U.S. first strike unacceptable United warning Western Europe