Age, Time, and Fertility: Applications of Exploratory Data AnalysisAge, Time, and Fertility: Applications of Exploratory Data Analysis describes change in the age pattern of fertility that responds to a specific need in making fertility comparisons across time and place. This book discusses a modeling process based on Tukey's exploratory data analysis (EDA) methods, which is proved very effective in other fields for detecting underlying patterns, even in flawed data. The first part of this text provides an introduction to the philosophy and tools of EDA and to the data analyzed, examining in detail the process of developing and standardizing the closely fitting, few-parameter descriptions of demographic change in time sequence. The rest of the chapters examine the results and applications of fertility modeling and establish relations between change in the age pattern of fertility and level of fertility. This publication is intended for those interested in the measures and methods of fertility change that can be applied to demographic data. |
Contents
| 1 | |
| 8 | |
Choices and Procedures | 39 |
The Evidence of GoodnessofFit | 69 |
Demographically Guided Standard Forms | 91 |
Two Centuries of Change | 125 |
Seven Decades of Change | 182 |
Evidence for the Generality of EHR Age Standards | 237 |
Chapter IX Conclusion | 270 |
The Relationship of Empirical Analysis to More Narrowly Modeled Analysis by John W Tukey | 274 |
RobustResistant Fitting Procedures and a RobustResistant Measure of Fit | 282 |
Representation of EHR Fits in a Standard Form | 286 |
| 299 | |
| 305 | |
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Common terms and phrases
5-year age groups age cut age distribution age of childbearing Age Parameters age pattern age vectors births per woman Chapter close fits Coale–Trussell cohorts aged 15 cohorts aged 15–19 component counties of Sweden decline demographic differences distribution of fertility effect EHR age standards EHR analysis EHR Fits EHR parameters EHR time parameters entry into childbearing exploratory data analysis expressed fertility change fertility time sequences fitted description fitted parameters folded square root higher ages Hutterites interquartile range Jönköping level of fertility level-compensated linear marital fertility patterns marriage matrix mean age natural fertility NX15 sequence occurring 9 months overall and marital pattern of entry pattern of fertility period population quence range rate of fertility raw fraction scale re-expression re-presentation regression relation Reported selected square root scale standard level Swedish SYAC13 sequence Table tion total fertility rate total rate Tukey underlying values Västerbotten women X202 sequence younger ages