The Theory that Would Not Die: How Bayes' Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, & Emerged Triumphant from Two Centuries of ControversyBayes rule appears to be a straightforward, oneline theorem: by updating our initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and improved belief. To its adherents, it is an elegant statement about learning from experience. To its opponents, it is subjectivity run amok. In the firstever account of Bayes' rule for general readers, Sharon Bertsch McGrayne explores this controversial theorem and the human obsessions surrounding it. She traces its discovery by an amateur mathematician in the 1740s through its development into roughly its modern form by French scientist Pierre Simon Laplace. She reveals why respected statisticians rendered it professionally taboo for 150 years at the same time that practitioners relied on it to solve crises involving great uncertainty and scanty information, even breaking Germany's Enigma code during World War II, and explains how the advent of offtheshelf computer technology in the 1980s proved to be a gamechanger. Today, Bayes' rule is used everywhere from DNA decoding to Homeland Security.Drawing on primary source material and interviews with statisticians and other scientists, The Theory That Would Not Die is the riveting account of how a seemingly simple theorem ignited one of the greatest controversies of all time. 
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LibraryThing Review
User Review  gayla.bassham  LibraryThingBayes really deserves a better book than this one. I don't think it's particularly wellwritten, and it makes the subject matter appear drier than it really is. I think there's a good book in the subject matter, but this one isn't it. Read full review
LibraryThing Review
User Review  Cataloger623  LibraryThingEven if you failed math in college this book is good. Basically it's a history one statistical theorem. Put simply by updating intial your belief about something with objective new information , you ... Read full review
Contents
Part II Second World War Era  59 
Part III The Glorious Revival  89 
Part IV To Prove Its Worth  137 
Part V Victory  211 
Appendixes  253 
Notes  259 
Glossary  271 
275  
307  
Other editions  View all
The Theory That Would Not Die: How Bayes' Rule Cracked the Enigma Code ... Sharon Bertsch McGrayne No preview available  2011 
The Theory that Would Not Die: How Bayes' Rule Cracked the Enigma Code ... Sharon Bertsch McGrayne No preview available  2012 
The Theory that Would Not Die: How Bayes' Rule Cracked the Enigma Code ... Sharon Bertsch McGrayne No preview available  2011 
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