Project Independence Report, Volumes 1-3

Front Cover
 

Contents

Domestic Energy Supply
63
II5
70
AII10 U S Total Gross Demand for Energy Resources by
71
Crude Oil
75
U S Gross Consumption of Energy Resources
77
II9
82
Chapter V
84
Background
86
Natural Gas Utility Industry Sales
87
TABLES
91
Coal 98
98
U S Coal Consumption
99
BusinessAsUsual Regional Supply Curves
107
Fuel Cycle
110
Electricity
117
Fossil Fuels Consumed for Electricity Generation in the U S
119
II24
125
Oil Shale
128
II14
129
Synthetic Fuels
134
II27
135
II15
136
Solar Energy
141
II19
145
Geothermal Energy
147
II28
151
Energy Conservation and Demand Management
153
Accelerated Conservation An Overview
159
Industrial
171
Demand Management
180
Environmental Assessment
199
Emerging Energy Alternatives
208
Environmental Analysis of Energy Strategies
214
Energy Constraints
229
Materials Equipment and Construction
238
V10
243
V13
251
Transport of Coal Oil and Gas
259
ឆននននន
261
V16
267
V17
274
Finance
279
V20
281
138
282
Economic Impact of the Oil Embargo
283
V27
289
Manpower
295
V30
297
V33
298
Water Availability
303
V35
306
Attachment
312
Chapter VI
315
Impacts on the National Economy
319
VI3
321
The Impacts on Different Segments of the Population
326
VI7
328
VI11
334
139
336
International Assessment
347
VII2
356
United States Import Supply Security
360
VII6
363
International Energy Program IEP
369
VII10
373
VII12
375
Emergency Stockpiles
377
VII7
384
144
390
Emergency Actions to Curtail Demand
392
VII20
399
1
400
Comparative Effectiveness of Alternative Supply Security
401
3
406
Statistical Appendix 3
3
148
12
III6
18
27
20
36
31
39
39
149
40
45
45
Demand Forecast 51 5555
51
AII1
58
Assumptions
65
AII7
68
AII2
70
AII12 U S Total Gross Demand for Energy Resources by 73
73
The Demand ModelIntegrating Model Interface
82
Description of Current Research
88
Chapter III
89
AIII1 Projected Transportation Energy Use Based on Price of 91
91
Trendline and Base 97
97
AIII5 Summary of Conventional Options to Reduce Transporta 105
105
AIII5 Fuel Savings with Imposition of Reduced Highway Speed 107
107
AIII6 Comparison of New Car Tax Alternatives 117
117
AIII8 Impact of New Car Taxes 119
119
AIII8 19701990 Growth of Primary Energy Demand Sector by 125
125
AIII12 Potential Energy Savings From LowCost Measures 132
132
AIII14 Percentage Heating and Cooling Load Savings for 138
138
AIII15 Conservation Measures for New Commercial Construction 142
142
AIII16 Appliances Energy Consumption 1970 144
144
AIII17 Appliances and Equipment 146
146
AIII18 Installed Units and Energy Savings 1990 152
152
AIII19 Material and Energy Consumption for Product 155
155
Manufacturing
160
AIII20 Industrial Energy Demand Base Case 164
164
AIII21 Summary of Conventional Options to Reduce Industrial 167
167
AIII11 Energy Savings as Compared to the Base Case 169
169
AIII22 Summary of Other Conservation Options to Reduce 176
176
AIII23 Federal Power Commission National Power Survey 180
184
AIII12 Regional Electric Reliability Councils 185
185
AIII24 Accelerated and Conventional Conservation Options 188
188
AIII25 Other Conservation Options Electric Utilities 189
189
Project Independence Evaluation System 195
195
AIV1 Conceptual Framework 202
202
Hypothetical Example
205
AIV1 Resource Requirements for Production Levels 206
206
AIV2 Transport Costs Ton 208
208
AIV5 Refinery Yields and Cost 209
209
AIV8 Price and Quantity Summary 210
210
Market Equilibrium With Constraints
211
List of Figures
214
AIV3 Example Energy System Network 236
236
83
257
Introduction and Summary
283
AV1 U S Production and Consumption of Petroleum 284
284
AV3 Monthly Imports Before and During the Oil Embargo 285
285
AV4 Gross National Product Statistics 19721974 289
289
AV5 Real Personal Consumption Expenditures 290
290
AV7 Estimated Differential Impact of the Arab Oil Embargo 292
292
AV2 Estimated Impact of the Embargo on Gross National 293
293
AV8 Percent Changes Nonfarm Payroll Employment 294
294
Socioeconomic Impact
296
Appendix
305
AVI2 FEA Range of Estimates of Clean Fuels Deficits 308
308
Causes of Deficit
309
AVI2 Clean Fuels Deficit Best Estimate 314
314
Project Independence Blueprint Technical Reports 335
335
Project Independence Executive Summary 1
1
Chapter I
17
2012
23
Crude Production Million Barrels Per Day
29
35
35
Domestic Fuel Consumption by Source 1985
46
Attachment 2
52
I31
60

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