Estimating Wartime Support Resource Requirements: Statistical and Related Policy Issues

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Rand, 1984 - Airplanes - 94 pages
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The Air Force spends several billion dollars annually to procure the spare parts and other resources need to support modern aircraft weapon systems. A large fraction of this investment is used to obtain assets for support of wartime operations. The assumptions used to project peacetime experience to wartime activity levels have important resource implications, but little has been done to test them empirically. Peacetime operational experiments, coupled with engineering projections of wartime failure rates, could be used to test these assumptions and provide an improved basis for resource requirements computations. This note addresses statistical and policy issues central to improving estimates of wartime support resource requirements. It uses the current problem of establishing the level of investment in spare engines for the C-5 aircraft to elucidate a number of these issues. The results should be of interest to policymakers concerned with logistics resource allocation, operational commanders whose wartime capabilities are affected by statistical assumptions and related policy decisions, and personnel responsible for producing requirements estimates. Originator-supplied keywords include: spare parts, failure, logistics planning, military aircraft and aircraft engines.

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