## Simple Trading Strategies That Work |

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### Contents

1 | |

2 | |

BSP and BOP Strategy | 17 |

BSP BOP Strategy Examples | 23 |

BSPXY and BOPXY Strategy | 37 |

BSPXY BOPXY Examples | 45 |

XY Strategy Switching | 53 |

XY Switching Examples | 59 |

13 | 95 |

Going Further | 101 |

17 | 149 |

45 | 158 |

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### Common terms and phrases

$7 per share 1st week biased to produce binary random process BOP-XY strategy BSP and BOP BSP strategy BSP-XY calculate Cayley-Hamilton Theorem central binomial coefficients close periods close to close close trading close-to-close price coin flip coin toss conditional probabilities days on close-to-close equation example expectation and variance expectation is positive flip g p ric guess I P(X look losin g Markov model Markov price model Markov process model with optimal number of tosses open to close optimal history length outcome P(Ti P(Xi predict previous toss price and volume price rises Profit per share profit plot profit/share closing price profits climb profits fall profits oscillate profits rise Pwin random variable ric e profit/share sample space sequence share on SPY shown in figure simple single coin model SPY solid line stock market toss probabilities trading strategy transaction cost volume model XY strategy switching