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analysis Asia Asia's assumes assumptions auto Brada and Mendez Canada capital cent CGE models competition Cox and Harris CUSFTA developing countries duties East Asian economies East Asian Exports East Asian trade EFTA elasticities equation estimates free trade area French Polynesia gravity flow model Hong Kong Implications of NAFTA industry inputs integration Laird and Yeats Macau Malaysia manufactures member countries Mexican exports Mexico MFA quotas million monopolistic competition NAFTA members NAFTA-induced non-member countries partial equilibrium model partial equilibrium trade percent preferential liberalization projected region restrictions returns to scale rules of origin Safadi and Yeats scenario sectors Singapore SITC Sobarzo steel Table Taiwan China tariffs and NTBs textiles and apparel textiles and clothing third countries total exports trade barriers trade creation trade diversion trade effects trade flows trade liberalization Triple transformation UNCTAD United Uruguay Round variables vis-a-vis World Bank