Basketball on Paper: Rules and Tools for Performance Analysis

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Potomac Books, Inc., 2004 - Social Science - 376 pages
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Journey "inside the numbers" for an exceptional set of statistical tools and rules that can help explain the winning, or losing, ways of a basketball team. Basketball on Paper doesn’t diagram plays or explain how players get in shape, but instead demonstrates how to interpret player and team performance. Dean Oliver highlights general strategies for teams when they’re winning or losing and what aspects should be the focus in either situation. He describes and quantifies the jobs of team leaders and role players, then discusses the interactions between players and how to achieve the best fit. Oliver conceptualizes the meaning of teamwork and how to quantify the value of different types of players working together. He examines historically successful NBA teams and identifies what made them so successful: individual talent, a system of putting players together, or good coaching. Oliver then uses these statistical tools and case studies to evaluate the best players in history, such as Magic Johnson, Wilt Chamberlain, Bill Russell, and Charles Barkley and how they contributed to their teams’ success. He does the same for some of the NBA’s "oddball" players-Manute Bol, Muggsy Bogues, and Dennis Rodman and for the WNBA’s top players. Basketball on Paper is unique in its incorporation of business and analytical concepts within the context of basketball to measure the value of players in a cooperative setting. Whether you’re looking for strategies or new ideas to throw out while watching the ballgame at a sports bar, Dean Oliver’sBasketball on Paper will give you amazing new insights into teamwork, coaching, and success.
 

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Contents

Chapter 1 How to Read This Book
1
Offensive Score Sheets
8
Chapter 3 The Best Offenses and Defenses And Some of the Worst Too
29
Chapter 4 Reserve Your Playoff Tickets Now We Won Three in a Row
69
Chapter 5 Teamwork
77
Chapter 6 Rebounding Myths and Roles
86
Chapter 7 The Significance of Derrick Colemans Insignificance
93
Chapter 8 Amos Tverskys Basketball Legacy
101
Chapter 18 Should I Firebomb Billy Donovans House?
221
Chapter 19 The Problem with Scorers
232
Chapter 20 Individual WinLoss Records
242
The Great Ones
261
Freaks Specialists and Women
290
Chapter 23 Basic Tools to Evaluate a Team
318
Chapter 24 Weather Forecasts
337
Appendix 1 Calculation of Individual Offensive Ratings and Floor Percentages
343

Chapter 9 The Power of Parity
108
A Game of Ultimatums
114
Chapter 11 Basketballs Bell Curve
117
Chapter 12 The Effect of Bad Referees and Other Short Stories
134
Distributing Credit among Cooperating Players
144
Chapter 14 Individual Floor Percentages and Offensive Ratings
154
Chapter 15 The Holy Grail of Player Ratings
181
Chapter 16 Insight on a Boxscore
192
Chapter 17 Individual Defensive Ratings
198
Appendix 2 Individual Floor Percentages and Offensive Ratings for Historys Great Offenses
350
Appendix 3 Individual Defensive Formulas
359
Appendix 4 Team Statistic Historical Regression
364
Glossary
367
References
369
Index
371
About the Author
376
Copyright

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About the author (2004)

Dean Oliver is a former basketball player, assistant coach, and collegiate scout, and has contributed to Basketball Digest. In 1996 he founded the Journal of Basketball Studies, an online compilation of basketball research, and contributes to the Association for Professional Basketball Research. Oliver currently provides statistical advice to the Seattle Supersonics and the public relations director of the WNBA. He lives in Oakland, California.

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