It Ain't Over 'til It's Over: The Baseball Prospectus Pennant Race Book

Front Cover
Steven Goldman
Basic Books, Aug 14, 2007 - Sports & Recreation - 457 pages
2 Reviews
Pennant races are arguably the most important aspect of baseball. Players, teams, and franchises are all after one goal: to win the pennant and get into the post-season. But what really determines who wins? Statistical analyses of baseball abound: different ways of breaking down everyoneÕs individual performance, from hitters and pitchers to managers and even owners. But surprisingly, team success-what makes some teams winners over an entire season-has never been looked at with the same statistical rigor. In It AinÕt Over ÕTil ItÕs Over, The Baseball Prospectus Team of Experts introduce the Davenport Method of deciding which races were the most dramatic-the closest, the most volatile-and determine the ten greatest races of modern baseball history. They use these key races (and a few others) to answer the main question: What determines who wins? How important are such things as mid-season trades, how much a manager overworks his pitchers, and why teams have winning and losing streaks? Can one player carry a team? Can one bad player ruin a team? Can one bad play ruin a teamÕs chances? This fascinating and illuminating book will change your perception of the game.
 

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LibraryThing Review

User Review  - ehines - LibraryThing

Much better-written than Baseball Between the Numbers--I would never call this one dreary as I would the earlier book. But still not as good as it really ought to be given the compelling stories here ... Read full review

LibraryThing Review

User Review  - Patrick311 - LibraryThing

Not a ton of ground-breaking analysis here (and if I have to sit through one more explanation of Davenport translations, I swear to God), but the writing is very nice, and each pennant race makes for ... Read full review

Contents

1 1967 American League 1
1
The Summer of Loving Carl Yastrzemski Jay Jaffe 19
19
Dick Williams and the Men Who Ate Gene Mauchs Lunch Christina Kahrl 24
24
2 1959 National League 30
30
The Braves Dynasty That Wasnt Jay Jaffe 46
46
3 1948 and 1949 American League 58
58
The Postwar Period and Competitive Balance Nate Silver 82
82
What If Branch Rickey Had Run the Yankees? Steven Goldman 94
94
The Great AllTime AntiPennant Race Clay Davenport 208
208
9 1974 American League East 220
220
How to Break Up the Yankees Steven Goldman 236
236
10 1951 National League 248
248
Static Versus Dynamic Offenses Clay Davenport 266
266
Rookies and Pennant RacesJay Jaffe 273
273
11 1984 American League West 280
280
The Great Improvisation Kevin Goldstein 297
297

4 1908 National League 99
99
Paper Giants Clay Davenport 121
121
5 1964 National League 129
129
The Greatest Deadline Deals of All Time Clifford J Corcoran 147
147
Dick Allens Aftermath Allen Barra 153
153
6 2003 National League Central 160
160
The Wild Card as Enabler of Pennant Races Nate Silver 170
170
7 1972 American League East 179
179
8 1973 The National League East 194
194
The Break Rany Jazayerli 302
302
12 1934 National League 310
310
13 1944 American League 326
326
The Great Pennant Race Abstract 363
363
Notes 393
393
Acknowledgments 421
421
About the Authors 423
423
Index 427
427
Copyright

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About the author (2007)

Baseball Prospectus is the top statistical web site in baseball and is extensively used, in print and on air, by a wide range of major broadcasters, magazines, and daily newspapers that cover Major League Baseball.

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