Interbank Exposures: Quantifying the Risk of Contagion
Bank for International Settlements, Monetary and Economic Department, 1999 - Bank failures - 14 pages
This paper examines the likelihood that failure of one bank would cause the subsequent collapse of a large number of other banks. Using unique data on interbank payment flows, the magnitude of bilateral federal funds exposures is quantified. These exposures are used to simulate the impact of various failure scenarios, and the risk of contagion is found to be economically small.
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$10 million 31 December assets of failed bank call reports bank runs bank’s banks failing banks holding beneﬁts Calomiris central bank commercial banking assets Continental Illinois counterparties credit loss degree of contagion depository institutions expected losses exposure to LTCM failing banks failing per round Failure of second Failure of tenth Failure of top FDIC federal funds exposures federal funds sold federal funds transactions Federal Reserve ﬁgures ﬁnancial institutions ﬁnancial markets ﬁrst type following the failure Furﬁne hedge fund intemational interbank credit exposures interbank exposures interbank federal funds interbank lending knock-on effects large-value Number of banks paper payment system risk quantiﬁes repurchase agreements risk in payment risk of contagion round Failure second most signiﬁcant second type signiﬁcant bank causes signiﬁcant bank Failure Simulation results small number smooth functioning subsequent failure Summary statistics tenth most signiﬁcant tier 1 capital top two banks total commercial banking type of systemic uncollateralised