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STOCHASTIC MODEL FOR EARTHQUAKE OCCURRENCES
STOCHASTIC MODEL WITH RANDOM SLIP RATE 2 5
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1985 Mexico earthquake accumulation and release aseismic asthenosphere cm/yr coefficient of variation computed constant slip rate coseismic slip developed earth earthquake occurrence model earthquake occurrence patterns earthquake source estimating the seismic fault plane frequency function given a seismic ground motion attenuation ground motion model Guerrero gap Guerrero zone holding time distributions interarrival Kanamori Kiremidjian and Anagnos km/sec large earthquakes last event least one event likelihood function Magnitude Mg Mexico City Michoacan Middle America Trench non-uniform slip nonuniform dislocation velocity obtained patch length peak ground acceleration Poisson model posterior distribution predictable model prior distribution probabilities of earthquake Probabilities of exceeding random slip rate rupture velocity segments seismic gap seismic hazard model September 19 Shimazaki and Nakata shown in Figure simulate ground motions Singh source mechanisms source parameters stochastic model stochastic slip-predictable model stress accumulation rate subduction zone theoretical ground motion time-dependent model tion Weibull distribution Zacatula