Beyond the Random Walk: A Guide to Stock Market Anomalies and Low-Risk Investing
In an efficient market, all stocks should be valued at a price that is consistent with available information. But as financial expert Vijay Singal, Ph.D., CFA, points out, there are circumstances under which certain stocks sell at a price higher or lower than the right price. In Beyond the Random Walk, Singal discusses ten such anomalous prices and shows how investors might--or might not--be able to exploit these situations for profit.
The author distills several decades of academic research into a focused discussion of market anomalies that is both accessible and useful to people with varied backgrounds. Past empirical evidence is supplemented with author's own research using more recent data. Anomalies covered include the "December Effect," "Momentum in Industry Stocks," "S&P 500 Index Changes," "Trading by Insiders," and "Merger Arbitrage." In each chapter, the author describes the particular anomaly, explains how it occurs, shows ways to take advantage of the anomaly, and highlights the risks involved. We learn, for example, that shares of stocks that have appreciated in recent months become scarce in late December, because investors wait until January before they sell (to postpone payment of taxes on profits). This scarcity drives the price up--the "December Effect"--and smart buyers can make the equivalent of 75% annual return on a five-day investment. Each chapter includes suggestions for further reading as well as tables and graphs that support the discussion. The book concludes with a preview of many other interesting anomalies and a section on how investor behavior might influence prices.
Clearly written and informative, this well-researched volume is a must read for investors, traders, market specialists, and students of financial markets.
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Market Efficiency and Anomalies
The January Effect and the New December Effect
The Weekend Effect
ShortTerm Price Drift
Momentum in Industry Portfolios
Mispricing of Mutual Funds
Trading by Insiders
Changes to the SP 500 Index
International Investing and the Home Bias
Bias in Currency Forward Rates
Understanding and Learning from Behavioral Finance
A Description of Other Possible Mispricings
Hedging Market Return
abnormal return addition ADRs analysis annual return anomalies arbitrageurs assets average behavioral finance bid-ask spread cash chapter close companies correlation deals December effect deletions earn effective date emerging markets Equity estimation period evidence exchange exchange-traded funds expected return explanation Fidelity Financial Economics firms foreign stocks forward rate bias futures contracts futures markets hedged holding period home bias index fund individual investors individual stocks insider trading interest rate January effect Journal of Finance large price change market efficiency merger arbitrage mispricing month mutual funds Nasdaq negative options percent portfolio positive predicted return price drift profits ratio redemption fees Rydex S&P 500 return sector funds Sharpe ratio short sales short selling short-sell speculation spread Standard and Poor's stock market stock mergers stock price Stock Returns Table target tion trading by insiders trading costs trading day trading strategy volume weekend effect