Striking First: Preemptive and Preventive Attack in U.S. National Security Policy

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RAND Project AIR FORCE studied the post-9/11 shift in U.S. defense policy emphasis toward preemptive and preventive attack, asking under what conditions preemptive or preventive attack is worth considering as a response to perceived threats. It considered the role such first-strike strategies are likely to play in future U.S. national security policy. Finally, it identified implications these conclusions have for military planners and policymakers as they prepare to deal with national security threats in the next decade.
 

Contents

APPENDIX D
3
Studying Preemptive and Preventive Attack
15
The Costs Benefits and Risks of Anticipatory Attack
32
The Certainty of the Threat
36
CHAPTER THREE
43
Legal Use of Force
50
The Significance of Legality
71
Legitimacy
86
APPENDIX
121
U S Consideration of Preventive Attack Against China
152
The Cuban Missile Crisis 1962
171
The Invasion of Grenada 1983
183
APPENDIX
189
The SixDay War 1967
198
The October War 1973
206
APPENDIX C
219

Rhetoric and Reality
92
Leading Scenarios for U S Anticipatory Attack
99
Anticipatory Attack and Future U S Defense Planning
107
The Importance of Operational Preemption
114
The Tirana Raids 1998
240
The Jordanian Crackdown in Maan 2002
256
NSS Statements on Preemptive and Preventive Attack
267

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