The Quality and Economic Significance of Anticipations Data: A Conference of the Universities-National Bureau Committee for Economic Research |
Contents
INTRODUCTION | 3 |
FORECASTING REQUIREMENTS FROM THE BUSINESS STANDPOINT | 9 |
COMMENT | 25 |
Copyright | |
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Common terms and phrases
acceleration principle aggregate analysis anticipations data appropriations average behavior bias buying intentions buying plans buying prices capital expenditures carloadings cent change in sales Chart coefficient of determination coefficients collinearity commitments companies consumer attitudes correlation corresponding decision decision problems decline deviations disposable income dollar Dun and Bradstreet durable economic employment equation estimates evidence explain explanatory variables extrapolative Fabricated metals Ferber firms forecast errors four-quarter change Franco Modigliani groups H-prediction household hypothesis increase indicates individual industry intentions data inventory intentions investment Katona labor force anticipations less manufacturing marginal change measure ment mortgage mortgage loans multiple correlation naïve model nondurables observations outlays percentage period plant and equipment predictive value production purchases quarter question questionnaire railroad shippers ratio regression relation relationship reported respondents sample seasonally adjusted Selling prices significant spending statistical sumer Table tions trend turnover variables