Strategic Business Forecasting: The Complete Guide to Forecasting Real World Company Performance, Revised EditionA book on practical business forecasting belongs in the library of everyone interested in business. Forecasting is extremely important to finance and accounting executives, business economists and managers at all levels. Strategic Business Forecasting: The Complete Guide to Forecasting Real World Company Performance provides you with a working knowledge of the fundamentals of business forecasting that can be applied in the real world regardless of the size of the firm. The author explains the basic forecasting methodology and the practical applications. All aspects of business are discussed, making this a comprehensive and valuable reference. The author avoids theoretical and mathematical discussions to gets right into how, when , and why to use this book. Many practical examples, applications, illustrations, guidelines, measures, checklists, rules of thumb, tips, graphs, diagrams and tables aid your comprehension of the subject. The author displays and explains printouts obtained using many popular spreadsheet programs and software packages. The book goes far beyond just sales forecasting, encompassing a wide range of topics of major importance to practical business managers and finance professionals, including cash flow forecasting, cost prediction, earnings forecasts, bankruptcy prediction, foreign exchange forecasting, and interest rate forecasting. Written in an easy-to-read style, it is practical, current, and intriguing - a reference book to use throughout your business career. |
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Contents
Forecasting and Managerial Planning | 3 |
Forecasting Budgeting and Business Valuation | 15 |
FORECASTING METHODS | 27 |
Moving Averages and Smoothing Methods | 29 |
Regression Analysis | 45 |
Multiple Regression | 57 |
Time Series Analysis and Classical Decomposition | 79 |
Forecasting with No Data | 95 |
APPLICATIONS | 161 |
Finanicial and Earnings Forecasting | 163 |
Cash Flow Forecasting | 179 |
Cost Behavior and Cost Prediction | 189 |
Bankruptcy Prediction | 203 |
Forecasting Foreign Exchange Rates | 229 |
Interest Rate Forecasting | 243 |
Technological Forecasting | 251 |
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Common terms and phrases
accounts accuracy actual Adjusted advertising analysis application approach ARIMA assets assume assumptions auto-correlation budget calculated cash cash flow CHAPTER coefficient collections confidence constant cost dependent variable determine develop direct earnings economic effect equation error estimate evaluate example exchange rate expected expenses exponential smoothing factors Figure firm forecasting function future given growth important income increase independent indicates industry interest rate Lambda linear liquid mean measure method month moving average multiple regression observations operating past percent percentage performance period planning prediction present probability projected quarter ratio receivable regression relationship residuals seasonal short-term shows significance simple sources squared standard statements statistical Step surveys Table techniques technological tion trend units weight
References to this book
Principles of Forecasting: A Handbook for Researchers and ..., Volume 2 J.S. Armstrong Limited preview - 2001 |