An Integrated Macroeconometric Model of the Indonesian Economy: A Framework for Devaluation Policy |
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absorption approach Aghevly analysis b₂ balance of payments Bank Indonesia Boediono central bank's coefficient Columns Matrix Control-Run Simulation current account dCRE deficit demand for real developing countries disequilibrium dln(P domestic credit dynamic econometric effect of devaluation elasticity endogenous variables estimated exchange rate exogenous Exogenous Change Figure framework function IMF Staff Papers impact Indonesia Indonesian economy inflation rate Institut Teknologi Bandung interest rate Interim and Total interim multipliers lagged ln DA/P ln NX/P ln(e ln(GTR ln(P ln(y long-run macroeconomic model Matrix for Equation monetary approach monetary base money holdings money supply Multipliers for Exogenous nominal income non-oil exports oil exports phi2 Policy Simulations R-Square rate of inflation rational expectations real balances real domestic absorption real income real money balances real output reduced relative prices Rupiah SAS LEGEND Shocked-Run Simulation short-run simulated values specified stability SYMBOL Table tion Total Multipliers trade balance U.S. dollar YR PLOT