Uncertainty in Policy Making: Values and Evidence in Complex Decisions
"Uncertainty in Policy Making explores how uncertainty is interpreted and used by policy makers, experts and politicians. It argues that conventional notions of rational, evidence-based policy making - hailed by governments and organisations across the world as the only way to make good policy - is an impossible aim in highly complex and uncertain environments; the blind pursuit of such a 'rational' goal is in fact irrational in a world of competing values and interests. The book centres around two high-profile and important case studies: the Iraq war and climate change policy in the US, UK and Australia. Based on three years' research, including interviews with experts such as Hans Blix, Paul Pillar, and Brian Jones, these two case studies show that thetreatment of uncertainty issues in specialist advice is largely determined by how well the advice fits with or contradicts the policy goals and orientation of the policy elite. Instead of allowing the debates to be side-tracked by arguments over whose science or expert advice is 'more right', we must accept that uncertainty in complex issues is unavoidable and recognise the values and interests that lie at the heart of the issues. The book offers a 'hedging' approach which will enable policy makers to manage rather than eliminate uncertainty."--Publisher's website.
What people are saying - Write a review
We haven't found any reviews in the usual places.
A Story of Irrational Great Expectations
Concepts and Approaches
Uncertainty and the Precautionary Principle
Threat Inflation Versus Precaution
5 Climate Change and the Politics of Precaution
6 Uncertainty Ideology and the Politics of Denial
7 Revealing Values and Uncertainty in Policy Debate
Other editions - View all
accept actors analysis approach argued argument assumptions Australian basis become Blair Bush administration certainty climate change competing values complex Comprehensive Assessment constructivist demonstrate economic emission reductions energy environment environmental epistemic communities evidence example existence expert advice future global warming Heazle Howard governments ideological impacts implementation influence intelligence International Whaling Commission interpretation invading Iraq IPCC Iraq’s Iraqi WMD John Howard justify knowledge claims Kyoto Protocol legitimacy major ment military action neo-liberal nuclear ofthe outcomes paradigm particular perceptions Pielke Jr policy debate policy decisions policy elites policy issues policy makers policy process policy response political positivist post-normal post-normal science post-positivist potential precautionary principle priorities problems programmes question rational rationalist regime risk Roger Pielke role Saddam Sarewitz scenarios Scientific Uncertainty scientists social specialist advice strategic tainty threat tion uncer uncertainty issues values and interests Washington Consensus weapons of mass