Inflation, the Quantity Theory, and Rational Expectations |
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alteration analysis ARIMA assumption Barro's Barro's equation Box-Jenkins chapter coefficients constant term structure demand for money determination discussed distributed lag Dutch guilder econometric models economic agents effects empirical endogenous equation of exchange error term example exogenous variables expected growth rate expected money growth expected rate FEDV forecast errors forward premium future hyperinflation hypothesis income increase inflationary expectations influence interest rates Knoester Korteweg M-M² monetarist monetary authorities monetary base monetary impulse money function money stock money supply moving average multivariate Netherlands non-rational model original model output equation past rates predictions price change price equation price level proxy rate of growth rate of inflation rate of interest rate of money rate of price rational expectations regression residuals sector shifts shocks stochastic structural models structure of expectations systematic temporary U.S. dollar unexpected changes univariate model values wages white noise world trade