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Inductive Verification of Businesscycle Hypotheses
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Amplitude of Specific analysis annual data arithmetic mean Average Amplitude average deviations Average Duration business cycles business-cycle call money rates cent Chart column computed corresponding Cycles in Monthly cyclical behavior cyclical measures cyclical movements cyclical patterns cyclical turns decline Deflated clearings erratic movements expansions and contractions figures full cycles interval inverted July June leads or lags List of Cycles method monthly data moving averages peaks and troughs periods covered Pig iron production Railroad bond yields Railroad stock prices random rates of change Raw and Smoothed reference contractions reference cycles reference dates reference expansions reference peak reference phase reference troughs reference turn seasonal index seasonal variations seasonally adjusted secular trend Seven American Series Shares traded Six American Series smoothed data specific cycles specific-cycle relatives specific-cycle turns standing in stage statistical Table Rl tion Trend-adjusted Data unadjusted data United