Nuclear Nightmares: Securing the World Before It Is Too Late

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Columbia University Press, Nov 26, 2013 - Political Science - 256 pages
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There is a high risk that someone will use, by accident or design, one or more of the 17,000 nuclear weapons in the world today. Many thought such threats ended with the Cold War or that current policies can prevent or contain nuclear disaster. They are dead wrong—these weapons, possessed by states large and small, stable and unstable, remain an ongoing nightmare.

Joe Cirincione surveys the best thinking and worst fears of experts specializing in nuclear warfare and assesses the efforts to reduce or eliminate these nuclear dangers. His book offers hope: in the 1960s, twenty-three states had nuclear weapons and research programs; today, only ten states have weapons or are seeking them. More countries have abandoned nuclear weapon programs than have developed them, and global arsenals are just one-quarter of what they were during the Cold War. Yet can these trends continue, or are we on the brink of a new arms race—or worse, nuclear war? A former member of President Obama’s nuclear policy team, Cirincione helped shape the policies unveiled in Prague in 2009, and, as president of an organization intent on reducing nuclear threats, he operates at the center of debates on nuclear terrorism, new nuclear nations, and the risks of existing arsenals.
 

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Contents

Introduction
1
POLICY
9
1 Promise
11
2 Legacy
19
3 Pivot
37
NIGHTMARES
49
4 Arsenals and Accidents
51
5 Calculating Armageddon
63
10 The End of Proliferation
157
11 Foundations
173
Remarks by President Barack Obama
191
Statement by President Barack Obama
199
Remarks by President Barack Obama
203
Excerpts from President Barack Obamas State of the Union Address January 27 2010
207
Remarks by President Barack Obama at New Start Treaty Signing Ceremony Prague Czech Republic April 9 2010
209
Ploughshares Fund
213

6 Exploding Budgets
75
7 The 95 Percent
99
8 The Most Dangerous Country on Earth
119
SOLUTIONS
145
9 Posture and Proliferation
147
Acknowledgments
215
Notes
217
Index
251
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About the author (2013)

Joe Cirincione is president of Ploughshares Fund, a global security foundation, and the author of Bomb Scare: The History and Future of Nuclear Weapons and Deadly Arsenals: Nuclear, Biological, and Chemical Threats. He serves on the secretary of state's International Security Advisory Board and is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations.

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