Lost in a Gallup: Polling Failure in U.S. Presidential ElectionsDonald Trump’s unexpected victory in the 2016 U.S. presidential election brought sweeping criticism of election polls and poll-based statistical forecasts, which had signaled that Hillary Clinton would win the White House. Surprise ran deep in 2016, but it was not unprecedented. Lost in a Gallup examines in lively and engaging fashion the history of polling flops, epic upsets, unforeseen landslides, and exit poll fiascoes in American presidential elections. Drawing on archival collections and contemporaneous sources, W. Joseph Campbell presents insights on notable pollsters of the past, including George Gallup, Elmo Roper, Archibald Crossley, Warren Mitofsky, and Louis Harris. The story is one of media failure, too, as journalists invariably take their lead from polls in crafting campaign narratives. Lost in a Gallup describes how numerous prominent journalists—including Edward R. Murrow, Jimmy Breslin, Mike Royko, Christopher Hitchens, and Haynes Johnson—were outspoken poll-bashers and critics. In assessing polling’s messy, uneven, and controversial past, Campbell emphasizes that although election polls are not always wrong, their inherent drawbacks invite skepticism and wariness. Readers will come away better prepared to weigh the efficacy and value of pre-election polls in presidential races, the most important of all American elections. |
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Lost in a Gallup: Polling Failure in U.S. Presidential Elections
User Review - W Joseph Campbell - Publishers WeeklyAmerican University communications professor Campbell (Getting It Wrong: Debunking the Greatest Myths in American Journalism) puts the glaring mistakes of the 2016 presidential polls in historical ... Read full review
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Lost in a Gallup: Polling Failure in U.S. Presidential Elections W. Joseph Campbell Limited preview - 2020 |
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Bibliographic information
| Title | Lost in a Gallup: Polling Failure in U.S. Presidential Elections |
| Author | W. Joseph Campbell |
| Publisher | Univ of California Press, 2020 |
| ISBN | 0520300963, 9780520300965 |
| Length | 336 pages |
| Subjects | › › History / United States / General |
| Export Citation | BiBTeX EndNote RefMan |