Predicting Politics |
Contents
Democratization | 15 |
Population Growth and Immigration | 22 |
The Power of the Pope | 28 |
Copyright | |
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actor American victory analysis assessment autocracy autocratic average bishops Bueno de Mesquita candidates capita income century changes chapter China choice church Cold Cold War Concordat of Worms countries decades decision makers degree of democracy democracy score Democracy-Autocracy democratic domestic economic growth estimate EUM simulations Europe evaluate expected utility Figure fixed effects forecast foreign policy future game theory global governance Helsinki Accords immigration important improve influence initial institutions interaction interests international pressure issue iteration Jiang Zemin king leaders Li Peng median voter nominates outcome papal peace percent perspective player policy satisfaction political pope pope's population position predicted preferred pro-American pro-Soviet proposal prospects prosperity Qiao Shi random shocks reflect regalian income regime type relative risk round Russia salience scale secular Shangkun shift Soviet Union stakeholders stance strategic Table theoretic tion trend United variable Yang Shangkun Zhao Ziyang Zhu Rongji